2. A bag contains 4 red balls, 7 white balls, 3 green balls and
6 black balls. If one ball is
drawn at random. Find the probability that it is
a) Black ball
b) Not white
Answers
Answered by
3
a) 3/10
b) 13/20
Answered by
0
Explanation:
Let E
1
and E
2
be the events of selecting first bag and second bag respectively.
∴P(E
1
)=P(E
2
)=
2
1
Let A be the event of getting a red ball.
⇒P(A∣E
1
)=P(drawing a red ball from first bag)=
8
4
=
2
1
⇒P(A∣E
2
)=P(drawing a red ball from second bag)=
8
2
=
4
1
The probability of drawing a ball from the first bag, given that it is red, is given by P(E
2
∣A).
By using Baye's theorem, we obtain
P(E
1
∣A)=
P(E
1
)⋅P(A∣E
1
)+P(E
2
)⋅P(A∣E
2
)
P(E
1
)⋅P(A∣E
1
)
=
2
1
⋅
2
1
+
2
1
⋅
4
1
2
1
⋅
2
1
=
4
1
+
8
1
4
1
=
8
3
4
=
3
2
=0.66
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