a basket contains a certain number of blue, green, white ,black and red balls.each of these balls is assigned(as per colour) a point value of 1,1/2,1/5,1/x and 1/11 respectively where 5
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Answer:
Let Q be the event that the drawn balls are white
A be the event that the bag contains 1 white ball
B be the event that the bag contains 2 white balls
C be the event that the bag contains 3 white balls
D be the event that the bag contains 4 white balls
E be the event that the bag contains 5 white balls
P(A)=1/5, P(B)=1/5, P(C)=1/5, P(D)=1/5, P(E)=1/5
P(Q/A)=
5
C
1
1
C
1
=
5
1
P(Q/B)=
5
C
1
2
C
1
=
5
2
P(Q/C)=
5
C
1
3
C
1
=
5
3
P(Q/D)=
5
C
1
4
C
1
=
5
4
P(Q/E)=
5
C
1
5
C
1
=1
using Baye's thorem,
P(A/Q)=
P(A) P(Q/A)+P(B) P(Q/B)+P(C) P(Q/C)+P(D) P(Q/D)+P(E) P(Q/E)
P(E) P(Q/E)
=
1/5.1/5+1/5.2/5+1/5.3/5+1/5.4/5+1/5.1.
1/5.1
=
1/5(1/5)+2/5+3/5+4/5+1
1/5
=
5
1+2+3+4+5
1
=
1+2+3+4+5
5
=
15
5
=
3
1
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