A jar contains black and white marbles. Two marbles are chosen without replacement. The probability of selecting a black marble and then a white marble is 0.40, and the probability of selecting a black marble on the first draw is 0.50. What is the probability of selecting a white marble on the second draw, given that the first marble drawn was black?
Answers
probability of selecting a white marble on the second draw = 0.8
Step-by-step explanation:
Let say there are B - Black Marbes
& W White marbles
Total Marbles = B + W
The probability of selecting a black marble and then a white marble is 0.40
P(B) P(W) = 0.4
P(B) = Selecting Black on First Draw
P (W) = Selecting white on 2nd Draw
probability of selecting a black marble on the first draw is 0.50
=> P(B) = 0.5
=> 0.5 * P(W) = 0.4
=> P(W) = 0.8
=> probability of selecting a white marble on the second draw = 0.8
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Answer:
0.5
Step-by-step explanation:
let the probability of selecting a black marble be P(B) and that of selecting a white marble be P(W).
The probability of selecting a black marble and then a white marble is equivalent to ;
Probability of selecting a black marble AND probability of selecting a white marble given that a black marble was selected first. That is
P(B) AND P(W/B)= P(B)*P(W/B)=0.4
But P(B)=0.5
Therefore
P(B)*P(W/B)=0.4
0.5*P(W/B)=0.4
P(W/B)=0.8
Probability of selecting a white marble on second draw given that the first marble was black becomes a posterior probability, which is computed as ;