A magician was performing magics in a childs birthday party. Few of his magics were failed. The ratio of failing magics is half as the ones that were successful. What will be the probability that, 4 magics will be successful out of next 5 performed?
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Answer:
80/243
Step-by-step explanation:
ratio(failure/success)=1/2
so p(failure)=1/(1+2)=1/3
p(success)=2/(1+2)=2/3
so
p(he has 4 successful magic tricks out of 5)=(2/3)*(2/3)*(2/3)*(2/3)*(1/3)*5=80/243
here 4 times p(success) is multiplied and one time p(failure) is multiplied because we want only 4 out of 5 magic tricks to be successful and at last 5 is multiplied because there are 5 ways in which 4 out of 5 magic tricks can be successful.
so answer is 80/243
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