An examination is attempted by five thousand graduates, two thousand post graduates and thousand doctorate holders .The probabilities that I graduate , a post graduate and a doctorate holder will pass the examination are ⅔,¾,⅘ respectively of one of the examinee passed the examination, then the probability that he is a post graduate is
Answers
Given : An examination is attempted by five thousand graduates, two thousand post graduates and thousand doctorate holders .The probabilities that I graduate , a post graduate and a doctorate holder will pass the examination are ⅔,¾,⅘ respectively
To find : one of the examinee passed the examination, then the probability that he is a post graduate is
Solution:
Graduates appeared = 5000
passing Examination probability = 2/3
Expected passing candidates = 5000 * 2/3 = 10000/3
Post Graduates appeared = 2000
passing Examination probability =3/4
Expected passing candidates = 2000 * 3/4 = 1500
Doctorate holders appeared = 1000
passing Examination probability =4/5
Expected passing candidates = 1000 * 4/5 = 800
Total Expected passing candidates = 10000/3 + 1500 + 800
= 10000/3 + 2300
= 16900/3
one of the examinee passed the examination, then the probability that he is a post graduate is = 1500 / (16900/3)
= 4500 / 16900
=45/169
= 0.266
probability that he is a post graduate = 45/169 = 0.266
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