Calculate the probabilities for the following statements as per the given scenario and draw the probability tree diagram also (Note: This diagram can be prepared in MS-Paint or manually).
A study undertaken by the Rajan Supervisor of Elections in 2002 revealed that 44% of registered voters are ‘Dharwadi Yuth’, 37% are Rajmoti, and 19% are others. If two registered voters are selected at random, what is the probability that both of them have the same party affiliation?
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0.3666 is the probability that both of them will have the same party affiliation.
Given that:
44% registered voters are Dharwadi Youth
37% are Rajmoti
19% are "Others"
Therefore, Probability of selecting a:
Dharwadi youth = P(1) = 0.44
Rajmoti = P(2) = 0.37
Others= P(3) = 0.19
Now, probability of selecting two voters, and two of them having same affiliation is:
P(Both Dharwadi)+ P(Both Rajmoti)+ P(Both Others)
= [P(1)×P(1)] + [P(2)×P(2)] + [P(3)×P(3)]
= [0.44×0.44] + [0.37×0.37] + [0.19×0.19]
= 0.1936+0.1369+0.0361
= 0.3666
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