can u Jugh any accurate numbers of population economy after covid 19 in India
Answers
Answer:
Dr Ramanan Laxminarayan, Director of the US-based Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, says India should focus on more pool testing to identify clusters in order to contain the spread of the Coronavirus. In an interview with Outlook’s Preetha Nair, Dr Laxminarayan also says that by looking at the pattern of Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu, it appears India is likely to see a peak in Covid-19 cases in early July. Excerpts from the interview:
We have entered lockdown 4.0. How is the situation going to unfold?
An honest answer is we don’t know. In the absence of a lockdown, we are able to model how the virus multiplies. With the lockdown, we don’t know the trajectory of the virus because there is not one Indian epidemic. There is a Maharashtra epidemic, Gujarat epidemic; there is a Tamil Nadu and Delhi one... Epidemic has not even started in states like Jharkhand, UP, Bihar and Chhattisgarh, at least based on the data that is being reported. If you look at the data coming from Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu, it is consistent with a peaking in early July. It seems to suggest that there will probably be a peak in early July going by the shape of the curve. But we cannot be sure. The difficulty for us is that because the testing is very low, we are not taking up most of the cases. We are not sure if the picture we are getting from the data is accurate enough, both in terms of cases as well as deaths.