Consider two events X and Y with probabilities, P(X) = 7/15, P( X Y)=1/3, and P(X/Y) = 2/3. Calculate P(Y), P(Y/X), and P(Y/X bar). State with reasons whether the events X and Y are dependent or mutually
exclusive.
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Given :
P(X) = 7/15
P( X∩Y) = 1/3
P(X/Y) = 2/3
To find :
P(Y) , P(Y/X) and P(Y/X')
State with reasons whether the events X and Y are dependent or mutually exclusive.
Solution :
a) P(Y)
P(X/Y) = P(X∩Y) / P(Y)
P(Y) = P(X∩Y) / P(X/Y)
P(Y) = (1/3) / (2/3)
P(Y) = 1/2
b) P(Y/X)
P(Y/X) = P(Y∩X) / P(X)
P(Y/X) = (1/3) / (7/15)
P(Y/X) = 5/7
c) P(Y/X') = P(Y∩X') / P(X')
We know, P(Y) = P(Y∩X) + P(Y∩X'), since X and X' are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
P(Y∩X') = P(Y) - P(Y∩X)
P(Y∩X') = 1/2 - 1/3
P(Y∩X') = 1/6
P(Y/X') = (1/6) / (1 - 7/15)
P(Y/X') = 5/16
X and Y are not mutually exclusive as P(Y∩X) ≠ 0
∵ P(X).P(Y) = 7/15 × 1/2 = 7/30 ≠ P(X∩Y) , they are not independent
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