define the term business cycle and discuss prosperity and depression phase
Answers
Answer:
. Definition of Business Cycle:
A capitalistic economy experiences fluctuations in the level of economic activity. And fluctuations in economic activity mean fluctuations in macroeconomic variables.
At times, consumption, investment, employment, output, etc., rise and at other times these macroeconomic variables fall.
Such fluctuations in macroeconomic variables are known as business cycles. A capitalistic economy exhibits alternating periods of prosperity or boom and depression. Such movements are similar to wave-like movements or see saw movements. Thus, the cyclical fluctuations are rather regular and steady but not random.
Explanation:
. Depression or Trough:
The depression or trough is the bottom of a cycle where economic activity remains at a highly low level. Income, employment, output, price level, etc. go down. A depression is generally characterised by high unemployment of labour and capital and a low level of consumer demand in relation to the economy’s capacity to produce. This deficiency in demand forces firms to cut back production and lay-off workers.
Thus, there develops a substantial amount of unused productive capacity in the economy. Even by lowering down the interest rates, financial institutions do not find enough borrowers. Profits may even become negative. Firms become hesitant in making fresh investments. Thus, an air of pessimism engulfs the entire economy and the economy lands into the phase of depression. However, the seeds of recovery of the economy lie dormant in this phase.
prosperity
Once the forces of revival get strengthened the level of economic activity tends to reach the highest point—the peak. A peak is the top .of a cycle. The peak is characterised by an allround optimism in the economy—income, employment, output, and price level tend to rise. Meanwhile, a rise in aggregate demand and cost leads to a rise in both investment and price level. But once the economy reaches the level of full employment, additional investment will not cause GNP to rise.
On the other hand, demand, price level, and cost of production will rise. During prosperity, existing capacity of plants is overutilised. Labour and raw material shortages develop. Scarcity of resources leads to rising cost. Aggregate demand now outstrips aggregate supply. Businessmen now come to learn that they have overstepped the limit. High optimism now gives birth to pessimism. This ultimately slows down the economic expansion and paves the way for contraction.