describe your country in 2050
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Answer:
In 35 years you and I will, going by the average age of newspaper readers and life expectancy in India, be dead. Let’s have a look at the country we are likely to leave behind in 2049. First, let’s deflate the optimists. In a 2011 report, predicted India would be the world’s biggest economy before 2050. “We expect India’s real per capita GDP to grow at 6.4% pa over the 40-year period between 2010 and 2050 (7.2% pa over the next 10 years and at rates of 7.7% pa between 2020 and 2030 and 5.2% pa between 2030 and 2050). As a result, we expect India to become the largest economy in the world by 2050, overtaking China and the US in the process."
Four years ago, when we were growing at 9%, I wrote in Mint Lounge that India’s high growth could not be sustained. I don’t think this will change, irrespective of policy tweaking by Central governments.
The other thing is what the economy means to the average Indian. Net national income is today about ₹ 70,000 per person per year according to the Central Statistics Office.
India’s incomes are the lowest among nations—Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. Median per capita income (meaning more than half the population) is only a little over ₹ 35,000.
This group will be only slightly better off in the next generation.
Second, our two major internal national security problems are Kashmir and the North-East. Both will be resolved in the sense that they will no longer be violent. My guess is that with both, there will be a compromise within the states because of India’s insistence on democracy. The economic migration of these states’ citizens in India is already blunting their secession Ary spirit.
Third, there will still be servants. Reading some histories of the world wars recently, I was struck by how frequently the mention of servant shortages came up in reports from Great Britain. Their culture of servants ceased after World War I, because wages went up and modern equipment made household work simpler.
In India it isn’t a function of demand and supply and of economics and technology alone. It also has to do with privacy. In relatively small spaces, we are comfortable with the constant presence of the servant, and this will not change in the next generation.
Fourth, honour killings will be gone. The media has penetrated what was traditionally a closed caste space. Haryana’s JATS are feeling this glare. It is society that bestows honour on families that do honour killing, and as media pressure piled on, this honour has lost its sheen.
hope it helps you