dicuss reason why india trade cannot develop in the post independence?
Answers
Answer:
Among developing countries, India’s growth experience during the
past five decades has been unique. Unlike many of its East and
Southeast Asian neighbors, India did not grow at “miracle” rates that
exceeded 6 percent and reached as high as 10 percent. Nor, unlike Africa
and Latin America, did it suffer periods of prolonged stagnation or decline.
For three of the five decades (1950–80), India’s economy grew steadily at
the so-called Hindu rate of 31
⁄
2 percent a year in real terms, and during the
next two decades it grew at annual rates between 5 and 6 percent.
Although the credit for this steady growth without prolonged stagnation
or decline goes to the macroeconomic stability and policy credibility that
the government provided, the blame for the relatively low rate of growth,
especially during 1950–80, must be assigned to the myriad microeconomic
distortions and heavy state intervention that straitjacketed India’s entrepre-
neurs.1 The government effectively stamped out domestic competition
through strict investment licensing and eliminated foreign competition
through strict import licensing. It was only during the second half of the
1980s that the government began to loosen its grip on investment and
import licensing; this was followed by a more systematic and comprehen-
sive opening up in the 1990s and after.
This paper discusses India’s external sector policies, focusing especially
on the past two decades; the impact of these policies on trade flows, effi-
ciency, and growth; and the future direction trade policies must take. It
begins with a discussion of the major policy developments in trade in both
goods and services. This is followed by a discussion of the evolution of
trade flows—their growth, composition, and direction. The next section
describes the impact of trade liberalization on efficiency and growth.
Explanation:
India’s share in world exports of goods and services, which had declined
from 2 percent at independence to 0.5 percent by the mid-1980s, bounced
back to 0.8 percent by 2002.20 Thus, since the mid-1980s, India’s exports
of goods and services have grown faster than world exports. Table 2 offers
an overview of the evolution of India’s external sector during the 1980s
and 1990s compared with that of China. The numbers leave little doubt
that the liberalizations of the 1990s have had a more significant impact on
India’s trade than those of the 1980s. Although trade has performed less
Arvind Panagariya 13
20. Trade in services refers to nonfactor services and does not include remittances.