effects of lockdown essay
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In state data such as that examined above, we see the clear signature of the lockdown. Nationally, how effective have the lockdowns been?
When we model the national data in aggregate, we find both reduction in transmission and localisation of the disease have had an impact. Focussing on the latter effect, we can cautiously try to quantify the effects that disease localisation has had.
If we assume a fatality rate of 0.5%, then model simulations tell us that, as of May 22, there have been about three million infections nationwide, heavily concentrated in a few hotspots. Testing has picked up roughly 4% of these and about a third are currently infectious. We can now use the model to explore the effects of an abrupt end to disease localisation. Roughly, this would correspond to the sudden resumption of free movement at pre-lockdown levels, although with physical distancing continuing as before.
With no disease localisation to begin with, that is, no lockdown as such, total infections would already, by around May 5, have reached 20 million – more than six times the current estimated infections. If localisation had ended after the first phase of lockdown on April 15, the rise would have started after a short delay, and 20 million infections would have been reached around mid-May. And so forth. In short, modelling suggests that a resumption of free movement, whenever it occurs, leads eventually to a steep rise in infection.
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Answer:
In this lockdown some have lost their lives and some are became very poor for things.
students are not able to study in proper way.
some have got very disappointed and disturbed by this disease. some have became very afraid and have got heart attack by listings very bad news.
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