if a nd b are two events such ghat p(a) =1/4 p(b)= 1/3 p(aub) =1/2 then p(b/a)
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We find that the proportion of spoiled plates is
P(C ∪ G) = P(C) + P(G) − P(C ∩ G)
= 1
10 +
1
10 − 1
50 = 9
50.
The regular inspection passses 9/10 of all plates. Let I be the event of a plate
passing its inspection. The assumption that a plate will certainly pass the
inspection if it is unspoiled is the condition that P(I|Gc ∩Cc) = 1. We are told
that P(I)=9/10 and we also know that P(Cc ∩ Gc)=1 − P(C ∪ G) = 41/50.
From the equation
P(I) = P(I|G ∪ C)P(C ∪ G) + P(I|Gc ∩ Cc
)P(Gc ∩ Cc
),
we find that
P(I|G ∪ C) = P(I) − P(I|Gc ∩ Cc)P(Gc ∩ Cc)
P(G ∪ C)
= 9/10 − 1 × 41/50
9/50 = 4
9
.
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