If p is a success probability, the quantity p/(1 − p)
is called the odds. Odds are commonly estimated in
medical research. The article “A Study of Twelve
Southern California Communities with Differing Lev-
els and Types of Air Pollution” (J. Peters, E. Avol,
et al., The American Journal of Respiratory and Crit-
ical Care Medicine, 1999:760–767) reports an assess-
ment of respiratory health of southern California chil-
dren. Assume that 88 boys in a sample of 612 re-
ported being diagnosed with bronchitis during the last
12 months.
a. Estimate the proportion p of boys who have been
diagnosed with bronchitis, and find the uncertainty
in the estimate.
b. Estimate the odds, and find the uncertainty in the
estimate.
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5
n
×25
n−1
÷(5
n−1
×25
n−1
)
It can be written as
=5n×25
n−1
×
(5
n−1
×25
n−1
)
1
By further calculation
=5
n
×
5
n−1
1
So we get
=5
n–n+1
=5
1
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