India- China border tension - Is it a sign of a war?
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Yes due to the complications even third world war can occur.
But if the circumstances handled cautiously it may be settled even between the two government..
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Current stand of is not only because of border dispute but also because of other factors:
Irritants to Chinese:
Indian refusal to participate in Chinese Belt & Road Initiative, India participating in various exercises with Chinese rivals like Malabar Exercise (which China views as Asian NATO), where India, US, Japan participate and Australia is also keen to join, India's stand on South China sea, Recent visit of Dalai lama to Tawang valley.
Irritants to Indian side:
China's reluctance to recognize MasoodAzhar as international terrorist, China's denial to allow India into NSG (works on consensus), Continuing CPEC (China-Pak Economic Corridor) through PoK
Possible outcomes:
- Either India or China may step back easing the conflict or postponing it to future
- Settling the matter forever through talks.
- Conflict may aggravate and end up leading to war.
Between two countries:
War is very least possible because, both the countries are nuclear powers and well aware of devastating effects of war irrespective of whether they are winning or losing. Despite hundreds of minor conflicts not even a single bullet is been fired on border since 1962 Indo-China war. This shoes the restraint on both the sides. Both countries have also deep understanding of concentrating on economic ties for mutual benefit rather than border dispute.
Both the countries know that their capabilities have tremendously improved since 1962 war. Based on geopolitical conditions, no third country might join in the aid of either India or China. So both sides know that there will not be clear victory in case of war.
Despite their differences there are many points on which both the countries need co-operation on international platforms.
Apart from above, China wants India to recognize that China is stronger than India militarily, economically. It wants India to accept that China is like a world power now. India's indifferent behavior towards China might want it to show its superiority and try to insult India as it has done in 1962 war. So possibility of war though almost nil cannot be completely eliminated. It is high time for both the countries to start diplomatic dialogues and resolve the issue before it aggravates to dangerous level.