Social Sciences, asked by rashikaverma31, 9 months ago

Latest means of forecasting covid 19

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Answered by sumant271976
1

Forecasting the novel coronavirus COVID-19

Fotios Petropoulos, Spyros Makridakis

Abstract

What will be the global impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19)? Answering this question requires accurate forecasting the spread of confirmed cases as well as analysis of the number of deaths and recoveries. Forecasting, however, requires ample historical data. At the same time, no prediction is certain as the future rarely repeats itself in the same way as the past. Moreover, forecasts are influenced by the reliability of the data, vested interests, and what variables are being predicted. Also, psychological factors play a significant role in how people perceive and react to the danger from the disease and the fear that it may affect them personally.

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