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Maharashtra: A COVID-19 status report
21 April 2020
COVID-19, Maharashtra, Delhi, health infrastructure, health data, coronavirus, Aditi Ratho, asymptomatic carriers, self-quarantine, lockdown, Dharavi, Koliwada, mortality
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With global numbers of COVID-19 cases unabashedly rising, India has made its share of contribution, reporting 0.77 percent (17,545) of the global coronavirus cases (2,241,359). Within India, Maharashtra leads with the number of cases at 4,200, followed by Delhi at 2,003 and Gujarat at 1,857. How is Maharashtra faring as compared to other states, and what is the status of the spread of the virus within the state?
Maharashtra versus national COVID19 cases
Maharashtra, as of 20 April, has 4,204 cases, which makes up 23.94 percent of the total cases of 17,545 in India. In terms of deaths, Maharashtra is at 223 which accounts for 41 percent of India’s total 553 deaths.
INDIA MAHARASHTRA Maharashtra as a % of India
TOTAL CASES 17,545 4,200 23.94
NEW CASES 1,554 553 35.59
TOTAL DEATHS 567 223 41
NEW DEATHS 36 12 33.33
MORTALITY 3.14% 5.3 %
It is difficult to compare states based on the mortality rates; though Meghalaya technically has the highest mortality at 9.09 percent, only because the ratio of 1 death for 11 total cases skews the mortality figure to the higher side. Similarly, with Punjab, which has 244 cases and 16 deaths. However, when comparing mortality rates, it is found that states on the higher end of the spectrum in terms of cases are not reflected in mortality rates. While Maharashtra leads the country in mortality rates at 5.3 percent with 4,200 cases, Delhi and Gujarat account for 2.25 and 3.61 percent, while Madhya Pradesh is at 5.12 percent with 1,407 cases.
Highest Cases State Level Comparison of Mortality Rates
STATE NO. OF CASES NO. OF DEATHS MORTALITY (%)
MAHARASHTRA 4,200 223 5.31
DELHI 2,003 45 2.25
GUJARAT 1,857 67 3.61
MADHYA PRADESH 1,407 72 5.12
TAMIL NADU 1,477 15 1.02
RAJASTHAN 1,495 24 1.61
Data revelations within Maharashtra
The Government of Maharashtra’s Department of Medical Education and Drugs and Public Health Department released a consolidated report of COVID-19 cases on 20 April, which captures latest figures in comparison to the global situation and national figures. It also revealed important disaggregated data on the age and gender of infected people, which is useful in determining the reach of this virus in different districts.
The date and day wise trends of COVID-19 cases in India and Maharashtra in the report show a sharper rise in national figures as the days progressed, and a gentler slope for numbers in Maharashtra, which may be an indication of steady testing and numbers being revealed periodically. In terms of the day wise distribution of COVID-19 numbers in Maharashtra, the figures reveal that there is no steady peak or rise — for example, the 38th day reported 350, which fell to 226 on Day 39, rose to 288 on Day 40, and fell to 119 on Day 41.
Due to the outbreak of the virus in dense slum areas of Dharavi and Koliwada, Mumbai has the record number of cases in Maharashtra as well as the country, with 2,724 cases. With numerous areas declared containment zones or sealed off, the state has initiated aggressive testing in order to mitigate the spread. Mumbai is followed by Pune at 611 and Thane at 348 cases. Mumbai also has the highest number of recoveries at 304 followed by Pune at 102. Sangli comes in third with 25 recoveries from the 27 cases it has reported, showing a recovery rate of 92.3 percent.
The age wise distribution of COVID-19 cases in Maharashtra shows that people aged 21-40 years have the most number of cases at 1,542. Maharashtra has effectively debunked the theory that only the old are vulnerable to being infected, as the number of cases among those aged 61-110 years is much lower at 469. This could also be a result of a larger younger demographic in the state, as well as the country. However, these figures do point out in stark detail the requirement of everyone, young or old, to treat the virus and government lockdowns with the seriousness that the situation warrants. The age group 61-80 years has the highest mortality rate of 18.6 percent. While the mortality of older people is clearly higher, with rates increasing steadily as age groups increase, younger carriers exposing themselves pose the larger risk.