Question

Suppose there is a lottery with 100 tickets numbered 1 to 100. the lottery is fair so the winner will be randomly chosen from one of those tickets. jane owns ticket #21. if w is the claim that jane wins the lottery, then her prior probability for w is 1/100. (her prior for ~w is 99/100.) (a) jane learns

e.a ticket with number 20 or 21 or … or 29 won. what is her likelihood of w in light of e? what is her likelihood of ~w in light of e? use bayes' rule to determine jane's posterior probability of w given e, and also ~w given

e. (b) jane then learns f: a ticket with an odd number won. what is her likelihood of w given e in light of f? what is her likelihood of ~w given e in light of f? use bayes' rule to determine jane's posterior probability of w given e&f, and also ~w given e&f.

Answer 1

it's too long to answer