suppose we have a box with 3red,2black,5whiteballs each a ball drawn in 3 returned to the box.what is the probability of drawing ?
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To solve this question, We have to use Bayes Theorem to get reverse probability.
Let first ball drawn is red and second ball drawn is white.
Probability of choosing a box at random =31.
probabilty of drawing a red ball from box−1=p(R∣B1)=31
probabilty of drawing a red ball from box−2=p(R∣B2)=21
probabilty of drawing a red ball from box−3=(R∣B3)=61
probability of getting the ball from box−2 if red ball is selected is given by
P(B2∣R)=P(B1)×p(R∣B1)+P(B2)×p(R∣B2)+P(B3)×p(R∣B3)P(B2)×p(R∣B2)
=31×31+31×21+3
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