Question

the probability that my team will win tomorrow's match is 0.6 . The probability that my team will win minimum of the next four matches is double than that. Explain what is wrong in this statement
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Answer 1

Answer:

If the probability of winning is 2/5, then the probability of loosing is 3/5. If you are going to loose the first four games the probability would be (3/5)^4 = 81/625 or 12.96%

But this is a mathbook answer to a real world problem. In reality there will be a different probability of winning against each opponent in these first four games. Additionally there are things like the psychology of winning and loosing that will also play a role in the real world but not in mathbook problems.

Step-by-step explanation:

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