The relationship among the concepts of hindsight bias, intuitive thinking, and overconfidence?
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Hindsight bias (or as my teacher refers to it, "I-knew-it-all-along phenomenon") occurs when one of your intuition turns out right. It strengthens one's belief and establishes a sense of wit even though the intuition was a pure conjecture or baseless.
Basically, If I believe a week old mouldy sandwich makes you psychedelic and warn my roommate against eating it and yet she eats it and has hallucinations, I am gonna act as if I knew it all along, though my intuition was a pure conjecture.
Intuitive Thinking
Carl Jung refers to it as "perception via the unconscious". It is basically looking or "perceiving" features as a basis to bring forth ideas and predictions.
For example, remember that mouldy sandwich? I saw it had some green mould growing on its corners which gave me the intuition that it may be harmful to health.
Overconfidence
Well, it's a side effect of hindsight bias. When one's intuition turns out right, they become overconfident about it.
For example, my roommate ate that sandwich and hallucinated. Next time, she picks up another mouldy sandwich, I will confidently say that she will get hallucinations. But it is possible that she got hallucinations the first time because she was tired or stressed and since she isn't tired/stressed right now, she may not get any hallucinations this time.
please mark as brainliest.
Basically, If I believe a week old mouldy sandwich makes you psychedelic and warn my roommate against eating it and yet she eats it and has hallucinations, I am gonna act as if I knew it all along, though my intuition was a pure conjecture.
Intuitive Thinking
Carl Jung refers to it as "perception via the unconscious". It is basically looking or "perceiving" features as a basis to bring forth ideas and predictions.
For example, remember that mouldy sandwich? I saw it had some green mould growing on its corners which gave me the intuition that it may be harmful to health.
Overconfidence
Well, it's a side effect of hindsight bias. When one's intuition turns out right, they become overconfident about it.
For example, my roommate ate that sandwich and hallucinated. Next time, she picks up another mouldy sandwich, I will confidently say that she will get hallucinations. But it is possible that she got hallucinations the first time because she was tired or stressed and since she isn't tired/stressed right now, she may not get any hallucinations this time.
please mark as brainliest.
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