Two computers a and b are to be marketed. a salesman who is assigned the job of finding customers for them has 60% and 40% chances, respectively, of succeeding in case of computer a and
b. the two computers can be sold independently. given that he was able to sell at least least one computer, what is the probability that computer a has been sold?
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What is the probability that computer A has been sold?
Given,
Let the event of the salesman selling computer A be 'A' and selling computer B be 'B'.
P (A) = 60% = 6/10
P(B) = 40% = 4/10
He sells at least one computer.
To Find,
Probability that computer A has been sold
Solution,
Probability that at least one computer has been sold = P(A∪B)
P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A∩B)
= 0.6 + 0.4 - 0.24
= 0.76
Probability that A has been sold given that at least one computer has been sold can be written as P(A | (A∪B))
= [P(A∩(A∪B))] / P((A∪B))
= P(A) / P(A∪B)
= 0.6/0.76
P(A | (A∪B)) = 0.789
∴ The probability that computer A has been sold IS 0.789.
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