What is the expected number of blocks of identical weather?
Answers
Explanation:
On a given day, the weather can either be sunny (with probability 0.4), cloudy (with probability 0.4), or rainy (with probability 0.2). Assume weather is independent across days.
Define blocks of weather to be the largest possible groups of consecutive days in which the weather is the same. For example, if it rained for eight days, followed by a day of sun, then a day of rain, we'd have three blocks.
Across a ten-day period, what's the expected number of blocks of identical weather?
Hint: rather than calculating the probability of each possible number of blocks, try defining the answer as a sum and using linearity of expectation.
Even with the hint, I'm not sure how to approach it past the 1 block case.
Answer:
The problem is as follows: On a given day, the weather can either be sunny (with probability 0.4), cloudy (with probability 0.4), or rainy (with probability 0.2). Assume weather is independent across days.
Explanation:
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