What is the formula of the simplicity
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Simplicity Theory (ST) is a cognitive theory based on the following observation:
human individuals are highly sensitive to any discrepancy in complexity.
Their interest is aroused by any situation which appears "too simple" to them.
This has consequences for the computation of
(narrative) Interest Relevance Emotional Intensity.
ST’s central result is that Unexpectedness is the difference between expected complexity and observed complexity.
One important consequence is the formula p = 2–U, which states that ex post probability p depends,
not on complexity, but on unexpectedness U, which is a difference in complexity.
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