Which regression predictive model is used to predict the probability of an event happening?
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The output of logistic regression is exactly that - the probability of an event happening. If your covariates are informative then your model will do better than just saying "P=1000/900000" everytime, because it might say "P=10000/900000" for a positive event, or even "P=0.9" of a positive event given certain covariates.
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