A bag contains 5 red abd 4 black balls .a ball is drawn at random from the vag and pyt into another bag which contains 3 red and 7 black balls. a ball is frawn ranfomly from the second bag.what is the probb that it is red
Answers
Let event E1: Red ball is drawn from the first bag and event E2: Black ball is
drawn from the first bag.
P(E1) = 5/9 P(E2) = 4/9
(Note that E1 and E2 are exhaustive events and mutually exclusive)
Let event A: Red ball is drawn from the second bag.
P(A /E1) = P(Red ball is drawn from the second bag under the condition that
black ball is transferred from the first bag to the second bag) = 3/10
Similarly,
P(A/E2) = P(Red ball is drawn from the second bag under the condition that red
ball is transferred from the first bag to the second bag) = 4/10
Therefore, required probability= P (red ball is drawn from the second bag)
P (A) = P (A∩E1) + P (A∩E2)
= P (E1) × P (A/E1) +P(E2) × P(A/E2)
= 5/9 × 3/10 + 4/9 × 4/10
= 15/90 + 16/90
= 31/90
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