if we tossed coin 50 times what was the probability to came head and tell
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If the distribution in your 50 tosses is reasonably close to 50/50 you could assume 0.5 for the next throw, or maybe fudge a bit towards whichever side had dominated. But if you have 50 heads in a row the safe bet would be 1.0 for the next to be a head.
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