Pretend that you are downtown: a sidewalk conman is playing the famous shell game, and you decide to play the game. In this game, there is one pea placed under one of three shells. The man will show you where the pea is, but then he mixes the three shells up very quickly so that you can’t keep track of where the pea is. You pick one shell, and before he tells you if you are a winner or not, he turns over one shell to reveal that the pea is not there. Now he asks you if you want to stick with the shell, you have or pick the remaining shell. What should you do if you would like to win the game?
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Monty Hall
Pretend that you are downtown: a sidewalk conman is playing the famous shell game, and you decide to play the game. In this game, there is one pea placed under one of three shells. The man will show you where the pea is, but then he mixes the three shells up very quickly so that you can’t keep track of where the pea is. You pick one shell, and before he tells you if you are a winner or not, he turns over one shell to reveal that the pea is not there. Now he asks you if you want to stick with the shell you have or pick the remaining shell.
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